Details of today’s poll TNS/System 3 are as follows:
Holyrood Constituency Vote (with change from 2007 in brackets)
SNP: 41% (+8%)
Labour: 29% (-3%)
Tory: 15% (-2%)
LibDem: 11% (-5%)
Other: 3% (1%)
Holyrood Regional Vote (with change from 2007 in brackets)
SNP: 40% (+9%)
Labour: 30% (1%)
Tory: 13% (-1%)
LibDem: 10% (-1%)
Green: 4% (nc)
Other: 4% (-7%)
Holyrood seats analysis
Running those figures through the Weber Shandwick seats predictor gives the following result (with change in brackets):
SNP - 58 (+11)
Labour - 41 (-5)
Tory - 16 (-1)
LibDem - 12 (-4)
Green - 2 (nc)
Westminster voting intentions (with change in brackets)
SNP: 32% (+14%)
Labour: 36% (-4%)
Tory: 19% (3%)
LibDem: 9% (-14%)
SNP re-takes poll position ahead of elections (2009-12-02 9:52)
Poll puts SNP ahead in marginal seats (2009-10-03 11:16)
SNP moves ahead in latest poll (2009-09-13 11:09)
Support growing for SNP Government (2009-09-06 9:34)
Polls shows increase in SNP support (2009-08-30 11:20)
"The Nineteenth century saw a great Springtime of Nations as the revolutions of 1848 saw new countries created the length and breadth of Europe. In our world today we are now seeing our own Spring Awakening with people and cultures that have long been dormant and subdued asserting their right to exist, their right to dream." Adam Price MP
Alan
ReplyDeleteI haven't seen this polling data before. What's your source?
It came from the SNP blog @
ReplyDeletewww.snp.org
I suspect there might have been a screw up on the SNP site! Those figures aren't there now and there hasn't been a TNS/System 3 poll since November.
ReplyDeleteHowever the latest MORI poll confirms a small SNP lead over Labour - even at Westminster, and a significant lead for Holyrood.
The really big shift in Scottish politics is the increasing collapse of the LDs. November's TNS poll showed them down to 7% in their Highland heartland (it can't possibly be that low!)with the SNP as the clear beneficiaries.
In Scotland, few in the MORI poll thought that a Westminster Tory Government would be good for Scotland (that includes 20% of Scots Tories!) so there will be tactical voting here to try to prevent that.